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Reckon

Decision journal that scores your 70%-sure calls against what actually happened

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Listed Oct 08, 2026

Reckon is an iPhone/iPad app for logging predictions — what you expect, how sure you are, 0–100% — then marking the outcome later, so your stated confidence can't be rewritten by hindsight. After 15 resolved calls (3+ per domain for a per-domain breakdown) it plots a calibration chart showing whether your 70%-sure calls actually come true about 70% of the time. It's a one-time $3.99 purchase with iCloud sync, no subscription, and the maker lists upfront what it doesn't do.

What holds up

  • +One-time $3.99 — no subscription to cancel later
  • +Predictions and confidence levels lock once logged — hindsight can't quietly rewrite them
  • +Syncs over iCloud with no account needed beyond your Apple ID

Mind the limits

  • −Needs 15 resolved calls (3+ per domain) before calibration charts become meaningful — no instant payoff
  • −iPhone/iPad only — no Android or web version

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